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Strickland and Rogers Lead Fundraising, New Guy in for 100 (thou

Strickland and Rogers Lead Fundraising, New Guy in for 100 (thou

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by: Mike Devlin Active Indicator LED Icon  OP  New Member
~ 9 years ago   Apr 16, '14 6:26pm  
From SCVTalk:https://www.santaclarita.com/blog/view.php?blog_entry_id=31090 Strickland stuns, Rogers rolls along, Knight comes up short, new guy makes a big bet, and Buck gets a Lexus. But first, the numbers: xxReports were due yesterday, and as far as I can tell, the other four candidates haven't filed. Click on each candidate's name for the link to their report.Tony Strickland: raised $410,889.88, spent $172,973.43, $656,188.00 cash on handThe big story is that Tony Strickland's fundraising has picked up right where he left off as a candidate for his home district in Ventura County. He's fully rebounded from a disappointing Q4, cashing checks from a coalition of the insurance industry (60 separate donations from Farmer's Insurance PAC and employes alone), mortgage/real estate interests, and what appears to be every other wealthy Republican in Southern California. Noticeably scarce are the defense industry donors that have funded McKeon's campaign. There's the obligatory $10,000 from the Koch Brothers, too.Steve Knight: raised $89,897.00, spent $13,851.65, $77,328.74 cash on hand (minus unpaid bills)In contrast, Steve Knight came short of his already modest goal of $100k by about $10,000. For better or worse, almost all of his money has come from in-district sources. It's a good sign of local support, but it adds up to a lot less than Strickland's bank roll, and you wonder if it's enough to run a visible campaign in a district this big. Of course, you can't exactly compare dollars for dollars when Knight already represents over half of the district, but these filings do paint a picture of two very different campaigns.Lee Rogers: raised $202,752.17, spent $129,651.53, $261,297.25 cash on hand.Rogers broke 200k this quarter and he's working with a lot more money than he had in 2012, though it's hard to read into his totals at this point. He's still attracting a lot of money from his usual mix of district supporters and fellow doctors, but the heavy national money that seems all but inevitable for an open seat like this probably won't show up until after the primary.Troy Castagna: raised $41,265.00, loaned his campaign about $91k, spent $6,429, and has $110,335.21 cash on hand.Then there's the new guy: Troy Castagna from right here in SCV is running as a Republican and has already put nearly $100,000 of his own money into the campaign. On top of that, he's raised over $40k, mostly in max donations from family. Right away, it looks like he'll have to return a few donations, as federal law only allows donations from individuals and committees. He has a few donations from businesses, included a max donation from (I'm assuming) his parents' business, even though each of them have also maxed out. Even so, it's quite a stunner. $100k is a lot to spend, but it's far less than an unknown candidate needs to win a contested Congressional primary that begins in a few weeks. You wonder though, will Castagna's SCV and LDS roots have the potential of complicating things for Strickland in the SCV, where Buck McKeon's influence, though waning, is still worth something?Buck McKeon: Raised some money, gave it back, plenty left over, got a Lexus with the leftovers. More on that tomorrow...
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CherylPhillips Active Indicator LED Icon  New Member
~ 9 years ago   Apr 16, '14 8:51pm  
Mormons VOTE. With our numbers for Council race coming in at 14%, we won't get any more than this in primaries in June - maybe even less. All I'm saying is Mormons VOTE and the Castagna family is well known and respected in SCV.
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timothymyers02 Active Indicator LED Icon  New Member
~ 9 years ago   Apr 17, '14 10:14am  
Troy Castagna has a couple of the classic traits of a decoy candidate, but if he is a decoy candidate it would seem that he would benefit Knight's race (and Rogers).
 
One of the wild cards in the jungle primary (sample size: one) is that Democratic turnout is dreadful. Experts felt that this could result in a two Repub race in certain circumstances, especially where multiple Democrats were running. The introduction of Troy Castagna into the mix would seem to almost insure that Rogers will advance to the general election.
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Mike Active Indicator LED Icon  OP  New Member
~ 9 years ago   Apr 17, '14 11:04am  
Tim, I agree. A third Republican with money makes a top-2 GOP finish much less likely, as does a low total for Knight, because it reduces the potential profile of the race.
 
But Rogers can't be sleeping *too* soundly right now. IIRC, he did something like 16 points better in the general.
 
I do wonder if the heavily-contested GOP fights in the 2012 primary in the 36th and 38th AD had anything to do with boosting GOP turnout in 2012.
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